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Relying on Michigan Survey's monthly micro data on inflation expectations we try to determine the main features - in … terms of sources and degree of heterogeneity - of inflation expectation formation over different phases of the business …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005187099
nominal series. Countryby- country regressions for inflation and interest rates reveal that both the level of disagreement and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005041944
nominal series. Country-by-country regressions for inflation and interest rates reveal that both the level of disagreement and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010420834
household and expert inflation expectations in five core European economies (France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands and Spain … in high inflation countries are using higher best fitting constant gain parameters than those in low inflation countries … frequently than households. Furthermore, household expectations in the Euro Area have not converged to the inflation goal of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083250
forecasting inflation. In particular, high income, highly educated, and male agents produce lower mean squared errors. Moreover …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005113742
Disagreement in inflation expectations observed from survey data varies systematically over time in a way that reflects … the level and variance of current inflation. This paper offers a simple explanation for these facts based on asymmetries … in the forecasters’ costs of over- and under-predicting inflation. Our model implies (i) biased forecasts; (ii) positive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114129
, consumption, investment and unemployment) has a distinct dynamic from disagreement about nominal variables (inflation and interest … nominal series. Country-by-country regressions for inflation and interest rates reveal that both the level of disagreement and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425866
We investigate the size of the multiplier at the ZLB in a New keynesian model. It ranges from around -0.25 to +1.5, depending on the extent to which government spending is productive, substitutable or not for private consumption.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010742487
Recently, a new class of macroeconomic business cycle models has emerged. Stochastic dynamic general equilibrium models with rational expectations originally employed by RBC researchers are combined with nominal rigidities and imperfect competition traditionally highlighted by New Keynesian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010752473
Recently, a new class of macroeconomic business cycle models has emerged. Stochastic dynamic general equilibrium models with rational expectations originally employed by RBC researchers are combined with nominal rigidities and imperfect competition traditionally highlighted by New Keynesian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010752515