We propose an information criterion which measures the prediction risk of the predictive density based on the Bayesian marginal likelihood from a frequentist point of view. We derive the criteria for selecting variables in linear regression models by putting the prior on the regression...

　　 Consider the small area estimation when positive area-level data like income, revenue, harvests or production are available. Although a conventional method is the logtransformed Fay-Herriot model, the log-transformation is not necessarily appropriate. Another popular method is...

　　 For analyzing positive or bounded data, this paper suggests parametrically transformed nested error regression models (TNERM), which not only include the log-transformed model, but also adjust flexibly the transformation parameter to fit the data to a normal linear regression....

The paper concerns small-area estimation in the heteroscedastic nested error regression (HNER) model which assumes that the within-area variances are different among areas. Although HNER is useful for analyzing data where the within-area variation changes from area to area, it is difficult to...

This paper is concerned with the prediction of the conditional mean which involves the fixed and random effects based on the natural exponential family with a quadratic variance function. The best predictor is interpreted as the Bayes estimator in the Bayesian context, and the empirical Bayes...

In this paper, we consider the problem of selecting explanatory variables of fixed effects in linear mixed models under covariate shift, which is the situation that the values of covariates in the predictive model are different from those in the observed model. We construct a variable selection...

<p>In this article, we propose tests for covariance matrices of high dimension with fewer observations than the dimension for a general class of distributions with positive definite covariance matrices. In one-sample case, tests are proposed for sphericity and for testing the hypothesis that the...</p>

We consider minimax shrinkage estimation of a location vector of a spherically symmetric distribution under a loss function which is a concave function of the usual squared error loss. In particular for distributions which are scale mixtures of normals (and somewhat more generally), and for...

This paper is concerned with estimation of a predictive density with parametric constraints under Kullback-Leibler loss. When an invariance structure is embed- ded in the problem, general and unied conditions for the minimaxity of the best equivariant predictive density estimator are derived....

Our investigation concerns the estimation of predictive densities and a study of effiency as measured by the frequentist risk of such predictive densities with integrated L2 and L1 losses. Our findings relate to a p-variate spherically symmetric observable X ∼ px (||x -μ||2) and the...