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We identify a 'risk news' shock in a vector autoregression (VAR), modifying Barsky and Sims's procedure, while incorporating sign restrictions to simultaneously identify monetary policy, technology and demand shocks. The VAR-identifed risk news shock is estimated to account for around 2%-12% of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061670
unemployment. Significant asymmetries emerge. Lilien's dispersion index is significant only for relatively high levels of … unemployment and becomes insignificant for low levels suggesting that reallocation affects unemployment only when the latter is … high. More job reallocation is associated with higher unemployment. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011730966
The construction bust which accompanied the Great Recession, and the accompanying need to shift workers across sectors, have provoked a discussion about mismatch and the Beveridge Curve, alongside a discussion about firm-level dispersion. These discussions echo an ongoing discussion about the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010360956
stochastic volatility model of sectoral employment growth. Reallocative shocks have no effect on the natural rate of unemployment … the rise in trend unemployment in Germany in the 1980s or for a possible rise in trend unemployment in the United States …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009216276
measure construction and technology busts) have little effect on the natural rate of unemployment or on long run productivity … of unemployment and can count for a 0.5% rise in cyclical unemployment from 2007 through the end of 2009 and 0.3% through …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009216281
responsible for a substantial fraction of the variation in unemployment. The main purpose of this paper is to test the Lillien … hypothesis that sectoral shifts in employment are also responsible for fluctuations in aggregate unemployment for the Turkish … economy. The long run relationship between sectoral shifts, as measured by Lillien index, and unemployment along with the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009359462
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010701499
to investigate the asymmetric nature of the relationship between sectoral employment and unemployment. Significant … asymmetries emerge. Lilien’s dispersion index is significant only for relatively high levels of unemployment and becomes … insignificant for lower levels suggesting that reallocation affects unemployment only when the latter is relative high. More job …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010774567
This paper re-examines Lilien’s sectoral shifts hypothesis for U.S. unemployment. We employ a monthly panel that spans … stationarity of unemployment. Within a framework that takes into account dynamics, parameter heterogeneity and cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010656014
other industrial sectors, in agriculture, and in services, as well as unemployment and non-participation in the labor force …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010849017