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Vector autoregressive moving-average (VARMA) processes are suitable models for producing linear forecasts of sets of time series variables. They provide parsimonious representations of linear data generation processes. The setup for these processes in the presence of stationary and cointegrated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014023700
In this paper, we test cointegration between GDP and Public consumption of the Republic of North Macedonia, for … quarterly data of twenty years' time series (2000Q1-2019Q4). We present results of two methods for cointegration test: first …, residual regression test table and second, Engle & Granger cointegration test and Philips Ouliaris test. Both methods provides …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013489691
A central assumption for identifying structural shocks in vector autoregressive (VAR) models via heteroskedasticity is the time-invariance of the impact effects of the shocks. It is shown how that assumption can be tested when longrun restrictions are available for identifying structural shocks....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015207512
this by employing Cointegration, Vector Auto-regression (VAR), Granger causality and dynamic connectedness analyses. We … found a lack of cointegration between both the ESG and Sharia indices and ETFs. Second, we observed bi-directional causality … cointegration may be attributable to the difference in the underlying asset composition of ESG and Sharia indices and ETFs. This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015211224
2020 using the ARDL cointegration method. The results reveal that FDI, the interactive variable of FDI and trade openness …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014500822
after the German reunification, cointegration is found between both variables suggesting a slightly positive relationship. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009306634
cointegration model, of pairs of stock prices. We show the effect that using an encompassing prior under an orthogonal normalization …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010259626
generating empirical evidence on the cointegration of different export prices. We start our analysis with the assumption that … cointegration of price series. Then, we extend the error correction model to a multivariate cointegration analysis by cluster. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010235140
due to publication bias. Cointegration is more prevalent for maize market pairs and less prevalent for rice market pairs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010235142
There are simple well-known conditions for the validity of regression and correlation as statistical tools. We analyse by examples the effect of nonstationarity on inference using these methods and compare them to model based inference using the cointegrated vector autoregressive model. Finally...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009767620