SUERF Seminar jointly organized with the National Institute for Economic and Social Research (NIESR)

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Abstract: Policy proposals on the new international standards for bank capital and liquidity are being debated without any methodical evaluation of their effects on both crisis probabilities and concurrent social costs. Using data for 14 OECD economies for the years 1980 Ã 2007, we conduct a...

We assess whether the subprime crisis was in some way unique or unprecedented by testing for an impact of a set of determinants on the probability of banking crises in OECD countries since 1980. The hypothesis of an exogenous probability of a crisis is not considered in the literature, and we...

Early warning systems (EWS) for banking crises generally omit bank capital, bank liquidity and property prices. Most work on EWS has been for global samples dominated by emerging market crises where time series data on bank capital adequacy and property prices are typically absent. We estimate...