The extent to which financial analysts provide ‘herd' rather than ‘bold' (or anti-herd) earnings forecasts has important implications for market efficiency. Identifying any contributing factor(s) for financial analyst herding behavior can lead to policies to help reduce such harmful conduct....

Since the global financial crisis, there has been renewed interest in understanding how monetary policy shocks transmit across countries through risk variables, spurring a literature on the "global financial cycle." This paper studies how (conventional and unconventional) monetary policy shocks...

Most of the financial litterature on optimal investment assumes that there exists both an initial and a final date between which the investment policy has to made optimal.. In practice, however, fund managers does not really have a starting point nor a final point at which the efficiency of...

In the current paper, we examine the existence of possible threshold relationships in the commodity price – freight rate nexus, under or over which the relationship between the two changes. Using the first lag of the commodity price change as the threshold variable, we find that, in the case...

We explain in a nontechnical fashion why dollar-neutral quant trading strategies, such as equities Statistical Arbitrage, suffered substantial losses (drawdowns) during the COVID-19 market selloff. We discuss: (i) why these strategies work during "normal" times; (ii) the market regimes when they...

Many financial instruments are designed with embedded leverage such as options and leveraged exchange traded funds (ETFs). Embedded leverage alleviates investors' leverage constraints and, therefore, we hypothesize that embedded leverage lowers required returns. Consistent with this hypothesis,...

This paper documents novel evidence that private debt contains value-relevant nonpublic information with significant economic value. We extract banks' private information from term loan spreads. Abnormal loan spreads significantly predict firms' future operating performance and uncertainty...

Chinese Abstract: 摘要：中共中央政治局在 3 月 27 日召开会议中多次强调通过发行特别国债和地方债应对此 次疫情，助力复工复产。为保障“抗疫”的特别债券发行，需要研究并学习已发行债券的...

Leveraged ETFs provide a convenient mechanism to dynamically change portfolio exposure and can be successfully used to construct robust portfolios that perform well during equity market drops. We start with a classical 60 percent Bonds/ 40 percent Stocks portfolio with monthly rebalancing that...

This paper estimates term risk premium and expected future spot rates embedded in Treasury forward rates to study the impact of short-term funding shortages on these quantities. Our approach is consistent with dynamic equilibrium models and avoids the arbitrage-free dynamic inconsistency...