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A firm's long-term stock returns are negatively related to past growth in housing prices in the state where the firm is located. The housing price effect is persistent, and robust to controlling for the long-term stock return reversal effect, changes in mortgage interest rates across the states,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013134730
We document a very strong negative association between a firm's stock returns and previous housing price growth in the state where the firm is located. This relation is a long-term phenomenon, with much stronger effects at longer horizons than at shorter horizons. For the period 1979-2002, a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013122703
This paper explores the potential for the housing market to inform public policy in Ireland by developing a model of the determinants of the cost of accommodation. It does this by using a rich dataset of sales and lettings accommodation costs in Ireland over the period 2006-2010. A large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085704
How legitimate is it to use asking price information in the absence of transactions prices? And how does the gap between the two vary over the market cycle? This paper examines these two issues by comparing two large datasets from Ireland's property market over the volatile period 2001-2012. It...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088105
We study the effect of geographic portfolio diversification of real estate firms on their investment performance before and after the global financial crisis (GFC). In addition to previously used dispersion metrics, we also account for the distance of the properties to the corporate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834233
In this paper, we apply the Capital Depreciation Model to the estimation of office building scale in 35 major cities. The result shows that the China office market shows an average 40% increase in scale in the past 10 years. Economic growth is the key factors influence the office building price,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840580
In this paper, we build up a portfolio in the Chinese residential real estate market. We separate 35 big cities in China into 3 groups with different criteria. Then we build portfolios for these groups, by comparing the efficient frontier and Sharpe ratio with the portfolio of full samples. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843686
In this paper, we apply the ARMA-GARCH model to Hong Kong real estate market. We analyzed the monthly data of housing, office retail and factories from February 1993 to February 2019. The result of ARCH LM test indicates that volatility clustering is shown in there four kinds of real estate. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843734
The long-term upward trend in Hong Kong's housing price and its ever-increasing price-rent ratio has caused extensive concern from investors and researchers. Dynamic Gordon Model ties an asset's worth to the expected value of the future payoff stream accruing to the asset, and it has been widely...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843735
For the last several years, the price of listed real estate stocks has been unusually high relative to dividends. We explore whether low interest rates or low risk premia can account for the high valuation ratios and find that they cannot. Lower interest rates have been offset by rising risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012957559