Despite the transparency and independent operations of the central bank, the costly disinflation in the early nineties and the apparent lack of contemporaneous correlation between inflation and unemployment in the subsequent periods brings into question the validity of the Phillips curve...

Among other aspects, the 2007-2009 financial and economic crisis had an impact on the Romanian labor force, too. The aim of this article is to analyze the macroeconomic determinants of the unemployment rate in Romania, using an econometric model. We use the GDP, net and gross wage, monetary...

The purpose of this article is to evaluate the efficiency of the monetary policy impulses transmission on inflation and unemployment in Romania, through the interest rate channel and to show the role played by interest rate in the transmission mechanism of monetary policy impulses. I have also...

The main objective of this study is to assess the usefulness and rationality of the inflation and unemployment rate forecasts made for Romanian by three experts in forecasting: F1, F2 and F3. All the unemployment rate forecasts over the horizon 2001 - 2013 provided by all experts do not provide...

Since 2000 U.S. inflation has remained both below target and silent to domestic slack and monetary interventions. A trend-cycle BVAR decomposition explores the role of imported intermediate goods in explaining the puzzling behaviour of inflation. The trend analysis shows that, starting from the...

This chapter examines the concept of inflation persistence in macroeconomic theory. It begins by defining persistence — emphasizing the difference between reduced-form and structural persistence. It then examines a number of empirical measures of reduced-form persistence, considering the...

This paper argues that the natural rate of unemployment hypothesis, in which equilibrium unemployment is determined by “structural†variables alone, is wrong: it is both implausible and inconsistent with the evidence. Instead, equilibrium unemployment is haunted by...

The dominant role of the "new consensus models" in central banks’ policy-making in the last two decades has triggered the reaction of post-Keynesian economists to examine alternatives to inflation-targeting monetary strategies and to Taylor-type interest rate rules. This paper develops a...

This paper argues that the natural rate of unemployment hypothesis, in which equilibrium unemployment is determined by ‘structural’ variables alone, is wrong: it is both implausible and inconsistent with the evidence. Instead, equilibrium unemployment is haunted by hysteresis. The...