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We propose a structural model for durations between events and (a vector of) associated marks, using a multivariate Brownian motion. Successive passage times of one latent Brownian component relative to random boundaries define durations. The other, correlated, Brownian components generate the...
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We develop an Arbitrage Pricing Theory framework extension to study the pricing of squared returns/volatilities. We analyze the interplay between factors at the return level and those in idiosyncratic variances. We confirm the presence of a common idiosyncratic variance factor, but do not find...
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We provide a structural approach to identify instantaneous causality effects between durations and stock price volatility. So far, in the literature, instantaneous causality effects have either been excluded or cannot be identified separately from Granger type causality effects. By giving...
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Stock and options markets can disagree about a stock's value because of informed trading in options and/or price pressure in the stock. The predictability of stock returns based on this cross- market discrepancy in values is especially strong when accompanied by stock price pressure, and it does...
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