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This papers finds evidence of fractional integration for a number of monthly ex post real interest rate series using the GPH semiparametric estimator on data from fourteen European countries and the US. However, we pose empirical questions on certain time series requirements that emerge from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407898
Semiparametric estimation of the memory parameter is studied in models of fractional integration in the nonstationary case, and some new representation theory for the discrete Fourier transform of a fractional process is used to assist in the analysis. A limit theory is developed for an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005087395
This note examines the stochastic properties of US term spreads with parametric and semi-parametric fractional integration techniques. Since the observed data (rather than the estimated residuals from a cointegrating regression) are used for the analysis, standard methods can be applied. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008555899
This paper examines the degree of persistence in the volatility of financial time series using a Long Memory Stochastic Volatility (LMSV) model. Specifically, it employs a Gaussian semiparametric (or local Whittle) estimator of the memory parameter, based on the frequency domain, proposed by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008584359
This paper focuses on nominal exchange rates, specifically the US dollar rate vis-à-vis the Euro and the Japanese Yen at a daily frequency. We model both absolute values of returns and squared returns using long-memory techniques, being particularly interested in volatility modelling and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008636400
We discuss the moment condition for the fractional functional central limit theorem (FCLT) for partial sums of x_{t} = Delta^{-d} u_{t}, where d in (-1/2,1/2) is the fractional integration parameter and u_{t} is weakly dependent. The classical condition is existence of q≥2 and q1/(d+1/2)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008671793
We analyze daily quotes of the BUX index, main index of the Budapest stock exchange, for period 2nd Jan. 1991–30th Sept. 2008, checking nonstationarity of series, stationarity of returns, applying the ARCH tests to the series. This period was not without its perils for the Hungarian economy....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008675325
We discuss the moment condition for the fractional functional central limit theorem (FCLT) for partial sums of x_{t}=Delta^{-d}u_{t}, where d in (-1/2,1/2) is the fractional integration parameter and u_{t} is weakly dependent. The classical condition is existence of qmax(2,(d+1/2)^{-1}) moments...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008680679
We discuss the moment condition for the fractional functional central limit theorem (FCLT) for partial sums of x(t)=Δ^(-d)u(t), where d є (-1/2,1/2) is the fractional integration parameter and u(t) is weakly dependent. The classical condition is existence of qmax(2,(d+1/2)-¹) moments of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008684785
This paper considers the application of long memory processes to describe inflation with seasonal behaviour. We use three different long memory models taking into account the seasonal pattern in the data. Namely, the ARFIMA model with deterministic seasonality, the ARFISMA model, and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008595907