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We examine in this article the monthly structure of the US and the UK interest rates by means of using fractionally integrated semiparametric techniques. The results based on the quasi maximum likelihood estimate of Robinson (QMLE, 1995) indicate that the order of integration of both series is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008515046
Time series data affect many aspects of our lives. This paper highlights ten things we should all know about time series, namely: a good working knowledge of econometrics and statistics, an awareness of measurement errors, testing for zero frequency, seasonal and periodic unit roots, analysing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008553000
Time series data affect many aspects of our lives. This paper highlights ten things we should all know about time series, namely: a good working knowledge of econometrics and statistics, an awareness of measurement errors, testing for zero frequency, seasonal and periodic unit roots, analysing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008489841
The expectation hypothesis suggests there exists long run equilibrium of interest rate term structure. Two theoretical approaches proposed by Campbell and Shiller (1987) and Hall el al. (1992) suggest that the term spread of long-term and short-term interest rates should be a stationary I(0)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008491442
In this paper we specify a multi-factor long-memory process that enables us to estimate the fractional differencing parameters at each frequency separately, and adopt this framework to model quarterly prices in three European countries (France, Italy and the UK). The empirical results suggest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004979398
This paper analyses the long memory properties of quarterly real output per capita in the US (1948Q1 – 2008Q3) using non-parametric, semi-parametric and parametric techniques. The results vary substantially depending on the methodology employed. Evidence of mean reversion is obtained in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004979424
This paper describes a parameter estimation method for both stationary and non-stationary ARFIMA (p,d,q) models, based on autoregressive approximation. We demonstrate consistency of the estimator for -1/2 d 1, and in the stationary case we provide a Normal approximation to the finite-sample...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100960
This paper analyses the long memory properties of quarterly real output per capita in the US (1948Q1 - 2008Q3) using non-parametric, semi-parametric and parametric techniques. The results vary substantially depending on the methodology employed. Evidence of mean reversion is obtained in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005026831
This paper proposes two simple tests that are based on certain time domain properties of I(d) processes. First, if a time series follows an I(d) process, then each subsample of the time series also follows an I(d) process with the same value of d. Second, if a time series follows an I(d)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005688497
This paper extends the local polynomial Whittle estimator of Andrews & Sun (2004) to fractionally integrated processes covering stationary and non-stationary regions. We utilize the notion of the extended discrete Fourier transform and periodogram to extend the local polynomial Whittle estimator...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005440065