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Time series data affect many aspects of our lives. This paper highlights ten things we should all know about time series, namely: a good working knowledge of econometrics and statistics, an awareness of measurement errors, testing for zero frequency, seasonal and periodic unit roots, analysing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008489841
The expectation hypothesis suggests there exists long run equilibrium of interest rate term structure. Two theoretical approaches proposed by Campbell and Shiller (1987) and Hall el al. (1992) suggest that the term spread of long-term and short-term interest rates should be a stationary I(0)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008491442
The paper presents a comparative study on the performance of commonly used estimators of the fractional order of integration when data is contaminated by noise. In particular, measurement errors, additive outliers, temporary change outliers, and structural change outliers are addressed. It...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005198828
In this paper we specify a multi-factor long-memory process that enables us to estimate the fractional differencing parameters at each frequency separately, and adopt this framework to model quarterly prices in three European countries (France, Italy and the UK). The empirical results suggest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009421186
This paper deals with the sustainability of the US current account using fractional integration. We examine nominal and real exports and imports and their corresponding values deflated by GNP. The results show that only the variables deflated by GNP may contain unit roots, while nominal and real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010598934
This paper deals with a multivariate long memory model for the specification of real output in the US, the UK, and Canada. We examine the orders of integration of the three time series first individually and then allow cross dependence between observations. Performing univariate analysis,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010598999
In this article we model monthly data on the Japanese nominal exchange rate in relation to the US dollar by means of fractionally integrated statistical models. For this purpose, we use both parametric and semiparametric techniques proposed by P.M. Robinson in a number of papers. The results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010600168
In this article we show that multiple cycles can occur in financial and economic time series. We model these cycles by means of Gegenbauer processes, using a procedure that permits us to test multiple roots at fixed frequencies over time and thus, it permits us to approximate the length of each...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009228643
This paper examines the degree of persistence in the volatility of financial time series using a Long Memory Stochastic Volatility (LMSV) model. Specifically, it employs a Gaussian semiparametric (or local Whittle) estimator of the memory parameter, based on the frequency domain, proposed by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008584359
This paper considers the application of long memory processes to describe inflation with seasonal behaviour. We use three different long memory models taking into account the seasonal pattern in the data. Namely, the ARFIMA model with deterministic seasonality, the ARFISMA model, and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008595907