We derive rates of contraction of posterior distributions on non-parametric models resulting from sieve priors. The aim of the study was to provide general conditions to get posterior rates when the parameter space has a general structure, and rate adaptation when the parameter is, for example,...

We consider the consistency of the Bayes factor in goodness of fit testing for a parametric family of densities against a non-parametric alternative. Sufficient conditions for consistency of the Bayes factor are determined and demonstrated with priors using certain mixtures of triangular densities.

In this paper we study the asymptotic behaviour of the posterior distribution in a mixture model when the number of components in the mixture is larger than the true number of components, a situation commonly referred to as overfitted mixture. We prove in particular that quite generally the...

Within the Bayesian paradigm, expert knowledge is typically used to construct informative priors, with an emphasis on combination with empirical data to form posterior estimates. In pioneering research, however, the initial step of represent- ing the current state of knowledge may deserve more...

The issue of using informative priors for estimation of mixtures at multiple time points is examined. Several different informative priors and an independent prior are compared using samples of actual and simulated aerosol particle size distribution (PSD) data. Measurements of aerosol PSDs refer...

We derive rates of contraction of posterior distributions on nonparametric models resulting from sieve priors. The aim of the paper is to provide general conditions to get posterior rates when the parameter space has a general structure, and rate adaptation when the parameter space is, e.g., a...

We consider the consistency of the Bayes factor in goodness of fit testing for a parametric family of densities against a non-parametric alternative. Sufficient conditions for consistency of the Bayes factor are determined and demonstrated with priors using certain mixtures of triangular...