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This paper considers how sanctions affected the Iranian economy using a novel measure of sanctions intensity based on daily newspaper coverage. It finds sanctions to have significant effects on exchange rates, inflation, and output growth, with the Iranian rial over-reacting to sanctions,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013217359
Sovereign nations grow faster than non-sovereign ones. When Pakistan ceded economic management to the IMF in the late 1980s, the turn to neo-liberalism led to 14 years of decline in long-run rate of investment and growth from which it hasn't recovered. This cost the economy an estimated $75.6...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013240764
Nowadays, society is increasingly asking questions about the conduct of macroeconomic policy in developing countries. But what is the scope for macroeconomic management in developing countries? Should international financial institutions that assist developing countries rely heavily on it? The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013241343
In this paper we assess the impact of external economic liberalization in India on the transmission of aggregate shocks. We examine the relative importance of domestic and external shocks and capture their feedback effects by estimating an eight variable vector autoregression (VAR) model. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011577454
At a time of slow growth in several advanced and emerging countries, calls for more structural reforms are multiplying. However, estimations of the short- and medium-term impact of these reforms on GDP growth remain methodologically problematic and still highly controversial. We contribute to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011747694
A piaci rendszerbe való átmenet hosszadalmas folyamat, amely a gazdasági tevékenységek széles skáláját foglalja magában. A piacgazdaságban nem csupán liberális szabályozásra és magántulajdonra van szükség, hanem megfelelő intézményekre is. Emiatt az átalakulás csak...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010963114
Turbulence has been the hallmark of the course of Indonesian economic growth. Indonesia was dubbed a “chronic drop-out” in economic performance in 1968, but it then immediately embarked on a growth spurt. Just as accolades to Indonesia's economic pragmatism and economic orthodoxy were...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011009845
From 1980 to 1992, emerging and developing countries grew by 3.4 percent per year. Their annual rate of growth increased to 5.4 percent between 1993 and 2012. No such increase occurred for advanced nations, whose average growth from 1980-2012 was roughly constant (excluding the impact of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010950775
1985 saw the publication of Carlos Díaz-Alejandro's classic article, “Good-Bye Financial Repression, Hello Financial Crash” (1985). Writing in the wake of drastic financial blowups in the Southern Cone, Díaz-Alejandro nonetheless argued that “a believable alternative system could be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011208915
We identify multiple structural breaks in a growth series using the econometric method developed by Bai and Perron (1998, 2003). We then regress the indicator of detected positive and negative breaks on three kinds of explanatory variables: external shocks, institutions and policies. Our results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005087153