This paper studies the relationship between GDP and saving in India. During the last few years, the saving rate has fallen marginally raising concern that it might adversely affect economic growth. We take a long run view. We explore whether there is a long run relationship between GDP and...

This paper looks at the relationship between financial development and economic growth using time series data for eight Asian countries. First, we estimate augmented production functions where a financial development variable is added. Second, we conduct multivariate causality tests between the...

In this paper we present an empirically stable euro area money demand model. Using a sample period until 2009:2 shows that the current financial and economic crisis that started in 2007 does not appear to have any noticeable impact on the stability of the euro area money demand function. We also...

This paper examines the short-run and long-run neutrality of money using methodology suggested by King and Watson (1997) on quarterly data from South Korea and Taiwan (King and Watson (1997), Testing Long-Run Neutrality, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond Economic Quarterly, 83(3), 69-103). A body...

Because the structural change of a time series from one pattern to another may not switch at once but rather experience a period of adjustment, conventional change point detection may be inappropriate under some circumstances. Furthermore, changes in time series often occur gradually so that...

The study proposes a multivariate unobserved components model in order to examine relationships at business cycle frequencies among macroeconomic variables. The series are decomposed into non-stationary trends, stationary cycles, and an irregular component. The co-movements among the particular...

This paper explores the seasonal cycles of European agricultural commodity prices. We focus on three food crops (barley, soft and durum wheat) and on beef. We investigate whether seasonality is deterministic or unit-root stochastic and whether seasonal cycle for specific agricultural commodities...

Despite the fact that the macro-economic modelling of the econometric type has almost a 30-years tradition in the Slovak Republic, the econometric modelling of the more detailed money structure has no history at all. The significance of the problem with time series is held by the fact that no...

This paper analyzes the joint dynamics of two key macroeconomic variables for the conduct of monetary policy: inflation and the aggregate capacity utilization rate. An econometric procedure useful for estimating dynamic rational expectation models with unobserved components is developed and...