This paper is devoted to revealed preference theory and its applications to testing economic data for consistency with utility maximization hypothesis, construction of index numbers, and forecasting. The quantitative measures of inconsistency of economic data with utility maximization behavior...

In this paper a finite discrete time market with an arbitrary state space and bid-ask spreads is considered. The notion of an equivalent bid-ask martingale measure (EBAMM) is introduced and the fundamental theorem of asset pricing is proved using (EBAMM) as an equivalent condition for...

We show that \emph{No unbounded profit with bounded risk} (NUPBR) implies \emph{predictable uniform tightness} (P-UT), a boundedness property in the Emery topology which has been introduced by C. Stricker \cite{S:85}. Combining this insight with well known results from J. M\'emin and L....

The issue of constructing a risk minimizing hedge with additional constraints on the shortfall risk is examined. Several classical risk minimizing problems have been adapted to the new setting and solved. The existence and specific forms of optimal strategies in a general semimartingale market...

This paper studies a valuation framework for financial contracts subject to reference and counterparty default risks with collateralization requirement. We propose a fixed point approach to analyze the mark-to-market contract value with counterparty risk provision, and show that it is a unique...

In this fact sheet we give some preliminary research results on the Bayesian Decision Theory. This theory has been under construction for the past two years. But what started as an intuitive enough idea, now seems to have the makings of something more fundamental.

This paper is concerned with the utility-based risk of a financial position in a multi-asset market with frictions. Risk is quantified by set-valued risk measures, and market frictions are modeled by conical/convex random solvency regions representing proportional transaction costs or...

In this work we essentially reinterpreted the Sieczka-Ho{\l}yst (SH) model to make it more suited for description of real markets. For instance, this reinterpretation made it possible to consider agents as crafty. These agents encourage their neighbors to buy some stocks if agents have an...

In this paper we analyse the structure of Warsaw's stock market using complex systems methodology together with network science and information theory. We find minimal spanning trees for log returns on Warsaw's stock exchange for yearly times series between 2000 and 2013. For each stock in those...

At first, we solve a problem of finding a risk-minimizing hedging strategy on a general market with ratings. Next, we find a solution to this problem on Markovian market with ratings on which prices are influenced by additional factors and rating, and behavior of this system is described by SDE...