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This paper analyzes the sources of output and unemployment dynamics in the world economy during the Great Recession …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008646428
China’s transformation into a dynamic private-sector-led economy and its integration into the world economy have been among the most dramatic global economic developments of recent decades. This paper provides an overview of some of the key aspects of recent developments in China’s...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005252521
nation’s 2000-01 economic crisis. Higher growth could reduce unemployment and raise living standards toward European Union …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005767368
This paper develops a simple model for measuring potential output that uses data on inflation, unemployment, and … substantial amount of uncertainty around our estimates, we find that the financial crisis has resulted in a reduction in potential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008777014
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010471074
In this paper, we provide compelling evidence that cyclical factors account for the bulk of the post-2007 decline in the U.S. labor force participation rate. We then proceed to formulate a stylized New Keynesian model in which labor force participation is essentially acyclical during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011123858
We build a small open economy, real business cycle model with labor market frictions to evaluate the role of employment protection in shaping business cycles in emerging economies. The model features matching frictions and an endogenous selection effect by which inefficient jobs are destroyed in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009401199
unemployment, including the sharp rise in U.S. long-term unemployment during the Great Recession of 2007-09. About 75% of the … forecast error variance of unemployment is accounted for by cyclical factors-real GDP changes (?Okun‘s Law?), monetary and … fiscal policies, and the uncertainty effects emphasized by Bloom (2009). Structural factors, which we measure using the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009019575
The human cost of the recent global crisis is reflected in its impact on the labor market. Explaining why economies with similar downturns had very different employment trends can help design policies to reduce such costs and improve labor markets. This paper analyzes the recent employment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142213
This paper discusses Romania’s Request for a Stand-By Arrangement (SBA). Since the 2008 global financial crisis, Romania has made significant progress in reducing macroeconomic imbalances and rebuilding fiscal and financial buffers. However, Romania remains vulnerable to external shocks,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245005