Chan, Yeung Lewis; Stock, James H.; Watson, Mark W. - In: Spanish Economic Review 1 (1999) 2, pp. 91-121
A panel of ex-ante forecasts of a single time series is modeled as a dynamic factor model, where the conditional expectation is the single unobserved factor. When applied to out-of-sample forecasting, this leads to combination forecasts that are based on methods other than OLS. These methods...