This paper analyses the performance of the inflation forecast-based (IFB) monetary policy rules in the quarterly projection model of the Czech National Bank. The paper begins by reviewing the model and its parametrization, including the variance-covariance matrix of disturbances employed in...

This paper focuses on optimal monetary policy in presence of uncertainty of the structural parameters that characterize an open economy. The framework is a Markov jump-linear-quadratic new Keynesian model, where the central bank searches for the optimal policy in a non certainty equivalence...

Are foreign variables important for tracking U.S. inflation expectations? This paper estimates a reduced-form model which takes into account both domestic and global indicators of economic slack as well as inflationary pressures. Our main findings point towards the instability of the estimated...

This paper presents a general approximation method for characterizing time-varying equilibrium portfolios in a two-country dynamic general equilibrium model. The method can be easily adapted to most dynamic general equilibrium models, it applies to environments in which markets are complete or...

The paper examines inflation targeting in a small open economy with forward-looking aggregate supply and demand with microfoundations, and with stylised realistic lags in the different monetary-policy transmission channels. The paper compares strict and flexible targeting of CPI and domestic...

This paper studies how a central bank’s preference for robustness against model misspecification affects the design of monetary policy in a New-Keynesian model of a small open economy. Due to the simple model structure, we are able to solve analytically for the optimal robust policy rule, and...

A small open economy model is presented, which allows explicit treatment of uncertainty and its effects on macroeconomic behaviour. Inflation targeting is compared to the welfare maximizing monetary rule and to a fixed nominal exchange rate. It is found that flexible inflation targeting produces...

En este documento se desarrolla un modelo de equilibrio general dinámico y estocástico calibrado para la economía peruana que puede ser usado para el diseño y análisis de política monetaria. El modelo incluye una segunda moneda que reemplaza parcialmente a la moneda doméstica en sus...

The paper estimates McCallum and Taylor monetary policy reaction functions, and hybrids mixing instruments and targets from the two frameworks, for 20 emerging market economies. McCallum-Taylor specifications with an interest rate instrument and a nominal income gap target perform better than...

I describe a simple new-keynesian macroeconomic model for a small open and partially dollarized economy, which closely resembles the Quarterly Projection Model (QPM) developed at the Central Bank of Peru (Vega et al. (2009)). Then I use Bayesian techniques and quarterly data from Peru to...