Since 2013 the inflation rate in the euro area has fallen steadily, reaching all-time lows at the end of 2014. Market-based measures of inflation expectations (such as inflation swaps) have also declined to extremely low levels, which suggests increasing concern about the credibility of the ECB...

Changes in monetary policy have surprisingly strong effects on forward real rates in the distant future. A 100 basis point increase in the two-year nominal yield on a Federal Open Markets Committee announcement day is associated with a 42 basis point increase in the ten-year forward real rate....

The paper examines the relative significance of monetary aggregates and interest rates in China using the information approach to monetary policy. The analysis reveals the superiority and robustness of a narrow monetary aggregate in contributing information about future movements in inflation.

This paper is the introduction to the forthcoming book, Recent Developments in Alternative Finance: Empirical Assessments and Economic Implications, Proceedings of Second International Symposium in Computational Economics and Finance. The conference was held in Tunis, Tunisia, March 15-17, 2012....

Die Bundesrepublik Deutschland verschuldet sich, indem sie Staatsanleihen emittiert. Die laufenden Kosten der Bundesschuld bemessen sich nahezu vollständig in Zinszahlungen für umlaufende und neu emittierte Bundeswertpapiere. Im Zuge der europäischen Verschuldungskrise sind die Zinsen für...

This paper presents a no-arbitrage model of the yield curve that explicitly incorporates the central-bank policy rate. After having estimated the model using daily euro-area data, I explore the behaviour of risk premia at the short end of the yield curve. These risk premia are neglected by the...

This paper describes the transmission of the recent financial crisis to Japan and compares the monetary policy reactions by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) with those during the 1990s, and with reactions by other major central banks. The paper first reviews the recent literature on the origins and...

We write model that considers both households’ and firms’ credit frictions. Firms’ credit is modeled by the traditional financial accelerator à la Bernanke et al (1999). Households that borrow funds face interest rates that increase with their debt, as in Curdia and Woodford (2010). We...

In an inflation targeting regime, the best possible knowledge of demand-side inflationary pressure is of priority importance for monetary policy. In applied macroeconomic models, this is traditionally represented by the actual position of the cyclical component of GDP (the output gap). This...

The introduction of Bitcoin as a distributed peer-to-peer digital cash in 2008 and its first recorded real transaction in 2010 served the function of a medium of exchange, transforming the financial landscape by offering a decentralized, peer-to-peer alternative to conventional monetary systems....