Showing 91 - 100 of 39,832
The paper investigates the impact of jumps in forecasting co-volatility, accommodating leverage effects. We modify the … the co-jumps of two assets have a significant impact on future co-volatility, but that the impact is negligible for … forecasting weekly and monthly horizons. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010491398
under the Basel Accord: A Bayesian approach to forecasting value-at-risk of VIX futures, fast clustering of GARCH processes … dynamics of BRICS's country risk ratings and domestic stock markets, U.S. stock market and oil price, forecasting value …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010907434
In recent years, a series of European labour market forecasts have been produced on behalf of, and have been published by, the European Centre for the Development of Vocational Training (CEDEFOP). These forecasts were generated using a modular modelling approach containing two major components:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010907910
In recent years, a series of European labour market forecasts have been produced on behalf of, and have been published by, the European Centre for the Development of Vocational Training (Cedefop). These forecasts were generated using a modular modelling approach containing two major components,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010907912
directional component of the market returns because, for investment purposes, forecasting the direction of return correctly is … in forecasting the direction of the market return. Finally, we test trading strategies and find that a number of industry …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011211851
volatility information improves the day volatility estimation. The results indicate a forecasting improvement using bivariate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012160811
The paper investigates the impact of jumps in forecasting co-volatility, accommodating leverage effects. We modify the … the co-jumps of two assets have a significant impact on future co-volatility, but that the impact is negligible for … forecasting weekly and monthly horizons. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010477100
This paper proposes a new combined semiparametric estimator of the conditional variance that takes the product of a parametric estimator and a nonparametric estimator based on machine learning. A popular kernel-based machine learning algorithm, known as the kernel-regularized least squares...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012814196
Since 2009, stock markets have resided in a long bull market regime. Passive investment strategies have succeeded during this low-volatility growth period. From 2018 on, however, there was a transition into a more volatile market environment interspersed by corrections increasing in amplitude...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012419688
coverage or tone to provide the largest forecasting performance improvements in the prediction of the conditional variance of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012487265