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sample path and jump components, thus enhancing forecasting performance. We generalize the heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR …) model to include implied volatility as an additional regressor, and to the separate forecasting of the realized components … endogeneity of implied volatility in the forecasting equations. We show that implied volatility is a biased and inefficient …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005653084
. Previous work has found that jumps at an index level are not related to future volatility. Here we examine the links between co-jumps … common, or co-jumps between the stocks are unrelated to the level of volatility or correlation. On the other hand, both … volatility and correlation are lower subsequent to a co-jump. This indicates that co-jumps are a transient event but in contrast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010680894
-form volatility modeling and forecasting as well as testing for the presence of jumps. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008577800
This paper examines the impact of intraday periodicity on forecasting realized volatility using a heterogeneous … estimators. This combined effect adversely affects forecasting. To account for this, we propose a periodicity-adjusted model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011984730
This paper develops a method to improve the estimation of jump variation using high frequency data with the existence of market microstructure noises. Accurate estimation of jump variation is in high demand, as it is an important component of volatility in finance for portfolio allocation,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011755339
The focus of the volatility literature on forecasting and the predominance of the conceptually simpler HAR model over …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011776706
This paper develops a method to improve the estimation of jump variation using high frequency data with the existence of market microstructure noises. Accurate estimation of jump variation is in high demand, as it is an important component of volatility in finance for portfolio allocation,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011568279
The focus of the volatility literature on forecasting and the predominance of the conceptually simpler HAR model over …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011715842
This paper examines the impact of intraday periodicity on forecasting realized volatility using a heterogeneous … estimators. This combined effect adversely affects forecasting. To account for this, we propose a periodicity-adjusted model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012063222
The main contribution of this paper is to propose a bootstrap method for inference on integrated volatility based on the pre-averaging approach of Jacod et al. (2009), where the pre-averaging is done over all possible overlapping blocks of consecutive observations. The overlapping nature of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851203