It is generally conceded that dividend pricing models are poor predictors of asset prices. This finding is sometimes attributed to excess volatility or to a dividend process manipulated by firm managers. In this paper, we present rather powerful panel tests of the dividend pricing relation using...

"There is now considerable research devoted to testing the dividend pricing model as a predictor of the actual prices of shares traded in financial markets. A general finding is that present value models are not good predictors of asset prices. This lack of fit is interpreted as excess...