<Para ID="Par1">Starting from a likelihood function and a prior information represented by a belief function, a closed form expression is provided for the lower envelope of the set of all the possible “posterior probabilities” in finite spaces. The same problem, removing the hypothesis of finiteness for the...</para>

The properties of wind persistence are an essential parameter in carrying out a complete analysis of possible sites for a wind farm. This parameter can be defined as a measure of the mean duration of wind speed within a given interval of values for a concrete site. In this study the persistence...

Wind speed persistence is a measure of the mean wind speed duration over a given period of time at any location. This definition implies that wind speed persistence means a positive serial correlation in time series. The wind speed persistence provides useful information about the general...

There are several established methodologies for generating synthetic populations. These include deterministic reweighting, conditional probability (Monte Carlo simulation) and simulated annealing. However, each of these approaches is limited by, for example, the level of geography to which it...

The daily Hang Seng index in the Hong Kong stock market has been analyzed in this paper. Two kinds of sign sequences as given conditions have been used to predict the future price movements. One is the parameter of multifractal spectrum Δf based on the indexes recorded in every minute, and the...

Cross impact analysis (CIA) consists of a set of related methodologies that predict the occurrence probability of a specific event and that also predict the conditional probability of a first event given a second event. The conditional probability can be interpreted as the impact of the second...

Not only in Sweden, but also in several international studies, it has been shown that a non-negligible proportion of the European population subscribes to classical anti-Semitic notions, and that anti-Semitism is a phenomenon that is still very much present in post-1945 Europe, more so in some...

The fear and hatred of others who are different has economic consequences because such feelings are likely to translate into discrimination in labor, credit, housing, and other markets. The implications range from earnings inequality to intergenerational mobility. Using German data from various...

MIT emerged from "nowhere" in the 1930s to its place as one of the three or four most important sites for economic research by the mid-1950s. A conference held at Duke University in April 2013 examined how this occurred. In this paper the author argues that the immediate postwar period saw a...