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The paper develops a tail risk forecasting model that incorporates the wealth of economic and financial information available to risk managers. The approach can be viewed as a regularized extension of the two-stage GARCH-EVT model of McNeil and Frey (2000) where we permit a time-varying...
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"Why is uncertainty so important to politics today? To explore the underlying reasons, issues and challenges, this book … realised, then currently-blinkered understandings of uncertainty need to be met with renewed democratic struggle. Written in an …-disciplinary audience in fields ranging from economics to law to science studies to sociology to anthropology and geography, as well as …
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This paper investigates the effects of the new asset management regulation on stock price crash risk using data from non-financial firms in the Chinese A-share market from 2007 to 2021. We reveal that the implementation of this regulation significantly curtails crash risk, particularly for firms...
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