A set of hypotheses derived from experiential learning and a realpolitik orientation to crisis bargaining are employed to investigate the bargaining behavior of pairs of states embroiled in recurring crises. It is proposed that in crisis bargaining, experiential learning focuses on the outcome...

The findings of a quantitative analysis of the effectiveness of reciprocating influence strategies in militarized interstate crises (MICs) suggest that the success of reciprocating strategies in MICs is related to (1) withholding cooperative initiatives until after the reciprocating party has...

This article studies the effectiveness of influence strategies in serious dyadic disputes. Influence strategies are classified according to four types: bullying, reciprocating, appeasing, and trial-and-error. The study employs events data from twenty serious disputes occurring in the twentieth...

The article addresses the state of quantitative international politics research, with particular attention to the extent to which peace scientists have been able to obtain cumulative findings with regard to issues of war and peace. When accumulation is viewed from the broader perspective of the...

The paper describes the research design and presents some preliminary findings from an extended investigation of the role played by cultural similarities and differences between participants in the evolution of militarized interstate disputes, particularly in the parties' uses of negotiation and...

In this paper we introduce two general non-parametric first-order stationary time-series models for which marginal (invariant) and transition distributions are expressed as infinite-dimensional mixtures. That feature makes them the first Bayesian stationary fully non-parametric models developed...