A Bayesian nonparametric approach to modeling a nonlinear dynamic model is presented. New techniques for sampling infinite mixture models are used. The inference procedure specifically in the case of the logistic model and when the nonparametric component is applied to the additive errors is...

This paper introduces a new approach to the study of rates of convergence for posterior distributions. It is a natural extension of a recent approach to the study of Bayesian consistency. Crucially, no sieve or entropy measures are required and so rates do not depend on the rate of convergence...

This article investigates the problem of Bayesian nonparametric regression. The proposed model is based on a recently introduced random distribution function, which is based on a decreasing set of weights. The approach is surprisingly of a much simpler form than alternative models described in...

This paper extends recent ideas for constructing classes of stationary autoregressive processes of order 1. A Gibbs sampler representation of such processes is extended in a straightforward way to introduce new processes. These maintain a linear expectation property which provides a simple...

An approach to constructing strictly stationary AR(1)-type models with arbitrary stationary distributions and a flexible dependence structure is introduced. Bayesian nonparametric predictive density functions, based on single observations, are used to construct the one-step ahead predictive...

In this paper, it is demonstrated that an extension to the exponential power family allows for robustness characteristics for the normal location parameter problem, previously thought to be restricted to the Student-t and a subclass of the positive stable families.

An approach to modeling dependent nonparametric random density functions is presented. This is based on the well known mixture of Dirichlet process model. The idea is to use a technique for constructing dependent random variables, first used for dependent gamma random variables. While the...

This paper uses free-knot and fixed-knot regression splines in a Bayesian context to develop methods for the nonparametric estimation of functions subject to shape constraints in models with log-concave likelihood functions. The shape constraints we consider include monotonicity, convexity and...