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In this paper, we analyse Okun's law - a relation between the change in the unemployment rate and GDP growth - using … fruitful. In terms of dynamic effects, a shock to GDP growth has robustly negative effects on the change in the unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012799537
Short-time work is a labor market policy that subsidizes working time reductions among firms in financial difficulty to prevent layoffs. Many OECD countries have used this policy in the Great Recession. This paper shows that the effects of short-time work are strongly time dependent and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920449
using a SVAR model by inspecting how unemployment responds to the state of the economy. We show that deviations from Okun …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013207330
This paper considers a correlated unobserved components (UC) model for output, employment, and hours in order to disentangle the causes for the last three jobless recoveries. The composition of the structural shocks during recessions and the periods immediately following recessions has changed,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034347
Short-time work is a labor market policy that subsidizes working time reductions among firms in financial difficulty in order to prevent layoffs and stabilize employment. Many OECD countries have used this policy in the Great Recession, for example. This paper shows that the effects of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011718992
We set up and estimate a structural unobserved components open economy model for the rate of unemployment and the real … factors. Thus, the results indicate that the dramatic changes in the Swedish unemployment rate during the 1990s mainly was a … inflation is found to be quite sensitive to the unemployment gap. An increase in cyclical unemployment by 1 percentage point …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011583137
Estimates of the Okun coefficient are made for Australian workers grouped by age and gender using an unobserved components model. By analogy we define and estimate a participation coefficient which measures the cyclical response of the labour force participation rate to cyclical output shocks....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011951521
Short-time work is a labor market policy that subsidizes working time reductions among firms in financial difficulty to prevent layoffs. Many OECD countries have used this policy in the Great Recession. This paper shows that the effects of short-time work are strongly time dependent and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011845664
Canadian unemployment rate in booms and busts. We find strong evidence in favor of asymmetric spillover effects. Unemployment … of the 2-year ahead forecast error of the Canadian unemployment rate in periods of slack vs. just 2% during economic … of the latter, lead to a temporary increase in the Canadian unemployment rate. Evidence of asymmetric spillover effects …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011862894
increase in economic policy uncertainty on unemployment in recessions and expansions. We find the response of unemployment to … confirms that the contribution of EPU shocks to the volatility of unemployment at business cycle frequencies is markedly larger …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011864417