The standard approach of evaluating flexible power plants in deregulated markets is by modelling the spark spread. While this takes account of the volatility of electricity prices and cost of gas and CO2, it does not take account of technical costs (such as ramping up and down) and it ignores...

The importance of being able to identify changepoints in financial time series has been stressed by many authors, both for econometric forecasting and for enhancing the performance of trading strategies. Strategies which work well in one type of context may lose money under different...

The mathematical method called Plurigaussian Simulations was invented in France in the 1990s for simulating the internal architecture of oil reservoirs. It rapidly proved useful in other domains in the earth sciences: mining, hydrology and history matching. This paper tracks its diffusion...

Securing stable long-term supplies of raw materials is vital for industrialized nations. China, Japan and South Korea are three countries in East Asia which import large quantities of raw material, especially metals and petroleum products. Unlike the other two, China has large mines and...

This paper analyses the evolution of the bidding strategies of nuclear power plants on the Spanish day-ahead auction market, over the 11-year period from 2002 until December 2012. During that time the proportion of renewable energy especially wind and solar power increased dramatically. At the...

By analogy with Social Licence to Operate, Social Licence to Finance refers to the pressure put by society as a whole on the finance industry not to fund projects that are considered as socially undesirable/irresponsible. Because of coal's contribution to greenhouse gas emissions and hence to...

This paper presents a flexible new family of copula-based multivariate models designed for handling large numbers of variables (1) as random vectors in the static case or (2) as vector stochastic processes in the dynamic case. The family includes models with upper and lower tail dependence....