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Understanding the factors driving crude oil price developments is essential for assessing their effects. This paper examines four groups classifying a total of some thirty potential determinants of crude oil prices: fundamental factors, i.e. supply and demand, factors relating to the structure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008623537
Using a dataset for 18 OECD economies spanning the last four decades, we identify periods of downward house price adjustment and estimate conditional logit models to measure the effect of energy inflation on the probability of these house price corrections after controlling for other relevant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010595707
If oil exporters stabilize the purchasing power of their export revenues in terms of imports, exchange rate developments (and particularly, developments in the US dollar/euro exchange rate) may contain information about oil price changes. This hypothesis depends on three conditions: (a) OPEC has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293389
With a view to establishing a Capital Markets Union (CMU), efforts to integrate (private) capital markets and private risk-sharing in the European Union are underway. However, the single (capital) market will be burdened by a perennial potential threat to sovereign bond market stability in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012054624
Central banks and financial supervisors approach ‘green finance’ mostly to preserve macroeconomic and financial stability according to their mandates. Obviously, climate change poses severe risks to households, firms and their financial intermediaries. These risks tend to be correlated and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012297167
Achieving high productivity growth is a central goal of policymaking, given that productivity (growth) impacts not only key macroeconomic variables, but also a country's living standards. Central banks have an intrinsic interest in promoting productivity growth because of its interaction with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013369934
The world economy is chugging along, but its key engines may be changing. While the economies of the U.S.A. and China have reached more mature levels, economic activity is now gradually gaining momentum in Europe and Japan.In Austria, economic growth over the year 2005 clearly regained momentum...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005802603
If oil exporters stabilize the purchasing power of their export revenues in terms of imports, exchange rate developments (and particularly, developments in the US dollar/euro exchange rate) may contain information about oil price changes. This hypothesis depends on three conditions: (a) OPEC has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005432666
This paper investigates the impact of changes in the U.S. dollar/euro exchange rate on crude oil prices. The negative correlation of these two variables is ascribed to five possible channels: on the supply side, the purchasing power of oil export revenues and on the demand side, local prices in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005273218
Whether measured in terms of employment or value added, the service sector by far dominates the economies of industrialized countries. The positive connection between tertiarization and per capita income is confirmed in both country cross-section and time series analyses. This development can be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005273220