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uncertainty is closely related to the output growth uncertainty. In forming expectations, individual forecasters seem to behave …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012148171
. Revisions of expectations generally lead to larger forecast errors. Subjective uncertainty measures, which are available at the … time of forecasting, are useful in assessing future forecast errors. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012148214
This paper evaluates the quality of survey forecasts, their accuracy and unbiasedness, and their overall consistency. The paper also tries to find out whether the relationships between economic variables are the same in survey data and in the actual data. In other words we analyze whether the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012503030
uncertainty is closely related to the output growth uncertainty. In forming expectations, individual forecasters seem to behave …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010608054
uncertainty is closely related to the output growth uncertainty. In forming expectations, individual forecasters seem to behave …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010699288
This paper evaluates the quality of survey forecasts, their accuracy and unbiasedness, and their overall consistency. The paper also tries to find out whether the relationships between economic variables are the same in survey data and in the actual data. In other words we analyze whether the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011140924
This paper examines aggregated inflation expectations based on the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters (ECB SPF). We … not cause systematic distortions to aggregated survey information. However, micro level analysis of expectations would …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012148235
This paper examines aggregated inflation expectations based on the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters (ECB SPF). We … not cause systematic distortions to aggregated survey information. However, micro level analysis of expectations would …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011095060
uncertainty is closely related to the output growth uncertainty. In forming expectations, individual forecasters seem to behave …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012503031
uncertainty is closely related to the output growth uncertainty. In forming expectations, individual forecasters seem to behave …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011140923