The purpose of this paper is to examine the sensitivity of the Turkish economy's natural rate of growth to the actual rate of growth, covering the period 1980-2008. To determine the reason why the natural rate of growth is endogenous, the long-run and the causality relationships between real...

This paper takes a new look at the long-run implications of resource abundance. Using a Schumpeterian growth model that yields an analytical solution for the transition path, it derives conditions under which the curse of natural resources occurs and is in fact a curse, meaning that welfare...

This paper explores the role of information in the theory of economic growth and development. They way it is used here, information/ refers to every feature of an economy, including not only the economic environment, but also the institutions like markets and government policies that affect the...

In “Long-Term Growth as a Sequence of Exponential Modes,” Robin Hanson presents a characteristically pathbreaking analysis, of economic growth over the history of the genus Homo. The paper shows that, across 2 million years, the data series for gross world product (GWP) can be modeled as a...

This paper develops a theory of the emergence of modern innovation-driven Schumpeterian growth. It uses a tractable model that yields a closed-form solution, consisting of an S-shaped (i.e., logistic-like) time path of firm size and a set of equations that express the relevant endogenous...

This paper provides a unified theory of the economic and demographic transition. Individuals make optimal decisions about fertility, education of their children and the type and intensity of the investments in their own education. These decisions are affected by different dimensions of mortality...

The upward sloping trend of rents and house prices has initiated a debate on the consequences of surging housing costs for wealth inequality and welfare. We employ a frictionless two-sectoral macroeconomic model with a housing sector to investigate the dynamics of wealth inequality and the...

This contribution is motivated by two stylized observations, the slowdown in growth, and a simultaneous income polarization in many advanced economies. While mainstream neoclassical and endogenous growth theory cannot sufficiently explain the nexus, we argue that the demand side plays a role. We...

We discuss and review literature on the macroeconomic effects of epidemics and pandemics since the late 20th century. First, we cover the role of health in driving economic growth and well-being and discuss standard frameworks for assessing the economic burden of infectious diseases. Second, we...

We develop a tractable dynamic model of productivity growth and technology spillovers that is consistent with the emergence of real world empirical productivity distributions. Firms can improve productivity by engaging in in-house R\&D, or alternatively, by trying to imitate other firms'...