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The dynamic linkage of stock price movements between major global and Korean stock exchanges are investigated by employing a monthly sample from January 1987 to October 2018. The Johansen test for cointegration indicates that a long-run equilibrium relationship between global and Korean stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013296145
The paper revisits the authors’ previous paper to examine short-run and long-run dynamic relationships between macroeconomic variables and stock prices in Korea. The data is updated to the period for which monthly data are available from January 1986 to June 2018 (390 observations) retrieved...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013296146
This scholarly work is an effort to capture the effects of oil prices on the actual exchange rate between the dollar and rupee. This is done with reference to the U.S. dollar as oil prices are marked in USD (U.S. Dollar) in the international market, and India is among the top five importers of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013297149
We apply extreme value theory to assess the tail dependence between three currency crisis measures and 18 economic indicators commonly used for predicting crises. In our pooled sample of 46 countries in the period 1974–2008, we find that nearly all pairs of variables are asymptotically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011048441
We show that the profitability of currency carry trades can be understood as the compensation for exchange rate misalignment risk based on the rare disastrous model of exchange rates (Farhi and Gabaix, 2008). It explains over 97% of the cross-sectional excess returns and dominates other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011112267
This paper assesses several early warning (EWS) models of financial crises to propose a model that can predict the incidence of a currency crisis in developing countries. For this purpose, we employ the equal weighting (EW) and dynamic model averaging (DMA) approaches to combine forecast from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014547774
Based on a dataset of 112 emerging economies and developing countries, this paper addresses the question whether the accumulation of international reserves has effectively protected countries during the 2008–09 financial crisis. More specifically, the paper investigates the relation between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011208914
Based on a dataset of 112 emerging economies and developing countries, this paper addresses the question whether the accumulation of international reserves has effectively protected countries during the 2008-09 financial crisis. More specifically, the paper investigates the relation between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011272194
Using the longest data set on FX order flow to date, along with the broadest coverage of currencies to date, we examine the effect of FX order flow on exchange rates across small and large currencies, currencies with floating or fixed regimes, and across both tranquil and turbulent periods. Over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009391592
The 2008 financial crisis has rekindled interest in the issue of early warning signals (EWS) of financial distress. It has also triggered renewed interest in the literature on currency crises, with many countries, especially among emerging market economies, experiencing severe exchange market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010815949