Börsch-Supan, Axel; Heiss, Florian; Winter, Joachim - Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre und Statistik, … - 2000
This paper discusses the consequences of population aging and a fundamental pension reform - that is, a shift towards more pre-funding – for capital markets in Germany. We use a stylized overlapping generations model to predict rates of return over a long horizon, taking demographic...