Model estimates of the pay-off of the Betuwe railway have played an important role for politicians to decide to build this railway. This has already been discussed extensively, especially with respect to the macro-economic effects of this investment. A deeper analysis shows that these effects...

We propose a new method of leading index construction that combines the need for data compression with the objective of forecasting. This so-called principal covariate index is constructed to forecast growth rates of the Composite Coincident Index. The forecast performance is compared with an...

Recent dynamics in iron ore markets are driven by rapid changes in economic activities that affect commodity markets, trade flows, and shipping activities. Time series models for the relation between these variables in Southeast Asia and the Australasian region are supplemented with models for...

Global total least squares (GTLS) is a method for the identification of linear systems where no distinction between input and output variables is required. This method has been developed within the deterministic behavioural approach to systems. In this paper we analyse statistical properties of...

__Abstract__ Oceanographic conditions like wind strength and wave height affect the risk of shipping incidents. Seasonal variations and trends in these effects are studied for weather-related incidents and pollution incidents, for six major ship types and for six regions across the globe. The...

Several instance-based large-margin classi¯ers have recently been put forward in the literature: Support Hyperplanes, Nearest Convex Hull classifier, and Soft Nearest Neighbor. We examine those techniques from a common fit-versus-complexity framework and study the links be- tween them. Finally,...

Consider the classification task of assigning a test object to one of two or more possible groups, or classes. An intuitive way to proceed is to assign the object to that class, to which the distance is minimal. As a distance measure to a class, we propose here to use the distance to the convex...

Generalized linear modelling (GLM) is a versatile technique, which may be viewed as a generalization of well-known techniques such as least squares regression, analysis of variance, loglinear modelling, and logistic regression. In may applications, low-order interaction (such as bivariate...

In analysis of variance, there is usually little attention for interpreting the terms of the effects themselves, especially for interaction effects. One of the reasons is that the number of interaction-effect terms increases rapidly with the number of predictor variables and the number of...

A new classification method is proposed, called Support Hy- perplanes (SHs). To solve the binary classification task, SHs consider the set of all hyperplanes that do not make classification mistakes, referred to as semi-consistent hyperplanes. A test object is classified using that...