Factor momentum returns do not stem from momentum in factor returns. To study the source of returns, this paper decomposes the stock factor momentum portfolio into a factor timing portfolio and a static portfolio, where the former dynamically collects the return due to serial correlations of...

We use a GARCH dummy model to study the influence of calendar effects on daily conditional returns and volatility of Bitcoin during the period 2013–2019. The Halloween, day-of-the-week (DOW), and month-of-the-year (MOY) effects are analyzed. Our results reveal no evidence of a Halloween...

In this paper, we design a new portfolio selection system named Passive Aggressive Neural Network Ensembles (PANNE). PANNE integrates an Adaboost improved BP Neural Network price pattern recognition strategy with Passive Aggressive Online Learning algorithm. In order to make the intelligent...

Auctions that generate public good benefits for bidders through revenue, such as those run by a charity, do not adhere to the revenue equivalence theorem. Instead, theory predicts that all-pay auctions will generate greater expected revenues than winner-pay mechanisms. However, this paper...

We examine whether the distribution of trades along the set of strike prices of option contracts on the same stock contains information about underlying price discovery. We show that option traders' demand for delta exposure drives the volume-weighted average strike-spot price ratio (VWKS). In...

Understanding the origins of wealth inequality is critical in the debate over what, if anything, to do about it. In this note, we propose a simple model which is still rich enough to reproduce observed patterns of wealth inequality. We call it the Concentrated Asset Betting (CAB) model. A key...

Abstract In 1995, the Basel Accords introduced an alternative method to compute the market risk charge through the use of a risk model developed internally by the financial institution. These internal models, based on the Value-at-Risk (VaR), follow certain rules that are defined under the Basel...

With 30% of the world's investment grade sovereign bonds trading at sub-zero yields, there is a growing acceptance that negative interest rates are the 'new normal.' Even very low probabilities of sustained negative interest rates in the future leads to incredibly high Expected Values for...

Ex ante (expected) average equity market correlation is linked to the differential correlation dynamics of growth and value firms, as well as the value premium. It predicts returns on the value factor, returns of growth firms, and the changes in growth options within an economy for horizons up...

The low variance (LV) strategy always bets against the volatile leg of common factor-portfolios. The risk of the strategy, measured by factor exposures, is thus perfectly predictable based on the status of factor portfolio variances during the formation period. I find that the strategy earns...