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We test the hypothesis that financial institutions and other regulated institutional investors benefit from relatively uninformative credit ratings. Using credit ratings without regulatory implications as a benchmark, we show that Moody's certifies riskier bonds as investment grade. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013013043
While credit rating agencies are of central importance to credit markets, it is still unclear how credit ratings decisions are being made. Are credit rating quantitatively hard-wired? Or, do ratings represent a more holistic approach to the evaluation of creditworthiness? I evaluate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012954162
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This paper evaluates the characteristics of a Point in Time (PiT) rating approach for the estimation of firms' credit risk in terms of procyclicality. To this end I first estimate a logit model for the probability default (PD) of a set of Italian non-financial firms during the period 2006-2012,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999071
This study develops and evaluates a model that generates synthetic credit ratings using accounting and market based information. The model performs very well in explaining agency ratings, suggesting that fitted values for unrated companies are likely to be reasonably precise. In addition, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012933324
This paper investigates the relation between credit risk and stock return for publicly traded firms in the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) over the period 2000-2017. Using credit ratings as a proxy for credit risk, we find that this relation is negative in Pakistan, as low-rated stocks (i.e.,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012869009
We find that Credit Rating Agencies (CRAs) see through transitory shocks to credit risk that stem from transitory shocks to equity prices, while market-based measures of credit risk do not. For a given stock return, CRAs are significantly less likely to downgrade firms with transitory shocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012901588
We study the influence of credit default swaps (CDS) trading on the costs of bond intermediation. After CDS initiation, CDS firms pay 12-28% (8-20 basis points) lower underwriting fees than similar non-CDS firms do. Underwriting fees decline more for riskier issuers and illiquid bonds for which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902404
Wealth transfer effects between stockholders and bondholders on the announcement date of changes in a firm's credit rating have primarily been examined a) for one type of security; b) on US capital markets; and c) by applying standard event study methods. In contrast to these investigations, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012984791
We show that a rating agency can provide certification for corporate borrowers through the mechanism of a credit watch with direction downgrade. We find that firms with watch-preceded rating confirmations (firms for which original ratings are confirmed after a credit watch warning) experience an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012985905