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fundamentalists and chartists. In order to investigate the dynamics of expectations of fundamentalists and chartists over time we …, chartists in comparison with fundamentalists more strongly believe the stocks’ co-movements. We also found that in a bull market … (booming period), the optimism of fundamentalists and chartists about the similarity of stocks’ performance diverge from each …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010871926
This thesis consists of four papers. The first three deal with deterministic chaos in exchange rate series whereas the fourth deals with technical analysis in the foreign exchange market. Paper [i] (
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005651992
markets are largely unobservable. We take an estimation perspective to obtain daily time series of fractions of chartists and … fundamentalists among market participants. We estimate the heterogeneous agent-based financial market model introduced by Lux and … frequency is yearly. We find support for Boswijk et al.’s key finding of a large fraction of chartists during the end of 1990s …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835845
heterogeneous agents and stability impact of lagged price information used by chartists to form their expectations. For the … chartists on market stability. For the stochastic model, we demonstrate that the model is able to display various market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009357757
This paper combines survey forecasts with a heterogeneous agent model to examine the dispersion of expectations of participants in the foreign exchange market. We find distinct variations in the level of dispersion and document that dispersion arises because of the combined effect of market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010871040
adaptive behaviour of heterogeneous agents and market stability impact of lagged price used by chartists to form their … used by the chartists on market stability. For the stochastic model, we demonstrate that the interaction and boundedly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010574003
Heterogeneity and interacting among boundedly rational agents have received an increasing attention in the finance and economics literature. Recent developments on the role of heterogeneous beliefs on asset pricing and the adaptive behaviour of financial markets shed light into the complex...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010643373
This paper examines heterogeneity in exchange rate expectations. Whereas agents' heterogeneity is key in modern exchange rate models, evidence on determinants of heterogeneity is weak so far. Our sample, covering expectations from about 300 forecasters over 15 years, shows remarkable time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264519
В статье рассмотрены основные положения концепции агентно-ориентированного моделирования, приведена трактовка понятия «агент», проанализированы...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011271111
The authors analyze financial interactions between fundamentalists and chartists within a heterogeneous agent model …, focusing on the role of fundamentalists stabilizing prices. In contrast to related studies, which are based on simulations and … calculations, they analytically prove that the presence of fundamentalists is not sufficient to avoid asset price bubbles. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011964237