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Independent States (CIS). To this effect, we apply a global vector autoregressive (GVAR) model and go beyond existing work by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011015329
We present a simple monetary model (with sticky prices) to highlight spillovers to output gaps. We then show using a sequence of nonstructural VARs and a Global VAR, the effects of monetary policies measured using short-term interest rates and money base stocks. We conclude that money base...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011208916
We analyze how modeling international dependencies improves forecasts for the global economy based on a Bayesian GVAR … density into its marginals and a copula term capturing the dependence structure across countries. The GVAR outperforms … structure across countries, whereas the GVAR does not yield better predictive marginal densities. The relative performance gains …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011212218
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014584609
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Vector Autoregressive (GVAR) model for 5 large Latin American economies and all major advanced and emerging economies of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009225765
investigates to what extent this process affects output growth and inflation in the advanced countries. A GVAR model is specified …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009294978
Independent States (CIS). To this effect, we apply a global vector autoregressive (GVAR) model and go beyond existing work by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010727711
inferred from multivariate time series and structural econometric methods. In particular, the GVAR and the NiGEM are employed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010753351
The 2007-2008 global financial crisis and the subsequent anemic recovery have rekindled academic interest in quantifying the impact of uncertainty on macroeconomic dynamics based on the premise that uncertainty causes economic activity to slow down and contract. In this paper, we study the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010757723