We present some new asymptotic results for functionals of higher order differences of Brownian semi-stationary processes. In an earlier work [4] we have derived a similar asymptotic theory for first order differences. However, the central limit theorems were valid only for certain values of the...

In this paper a new GARCH–M type model, denoted the GARCH-AR, is proposed. In particular, it is shown that it is possible to generate a volatility-return trade-off in a regression model simply by introducing dynamics in the standardized disturbance process. Importantly, the volatility in the...

In this paper, nonlinear models are restricted to mean nonlinear parametric models. Several such models popular in time series econometrics are presented and some of their properties discussed. This includes two models based on universal approximators: the Kolmogorov-Gabor polynomial model and...

This paper applies quasi-static analysis to a simple closed macroeconomy. It is shown that if the economy satisfies a conservation of income requirement, and the requirement that all equivalent investments generate the same rate of return (non- arbitrage), then there exists a state variable...

We derive a functional central limit theorem for the empirical spectral measure or discretely averaged (integrated) periodogram of a multivariate long range dependent stochastic process in a degenerating neighborhood of the origin. We show that, under certain restrictions on the memory...

The detection of additive outliers in integrated variables has attracted some attention recently, see e.g. Shin et al. (1996), Vogelsang (1999) and Perron and Rodriguez (2003). This paper serves several purposes. We prove the inconsistency of the test proposed by Vogelsang, we extend the tests...

We derive the family of tests for a unit root with maximal power against a point alternative when an arbitrary number of stationary covariates are modeled with the potentially integrated series. We show that very large power gains are available when such covariates are available. We then derive...

The aims of this paper are, firstly, to estimate the Italian shadow economy by means of a structural equation approach and, secondly, to verify the generality of the main criticisms about the reliability of the "MIMIC method" (or model approach) for this kind of analysis. Using the Italian...

The main objective behind the production of seasonally adjusted time series is to give an easy access to a common time series data set purged of what is considered seasonal noise. Although the application of o¢ cially seasonally adjusted data may have the advantage of being cost saving it may...

In this paper, we discuss how to best exploit the information contained in spells that are in progress when an observation period begins, that is, left-censored and left-truncated duration data. We provide a survey of censoring and truncation mechanisms in event history models. We describe some...