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This paper explores a natural connection between fiscal multipliers and foreign holdings of public debt. Although fiscal expansions can raise domestic economic activity through various channels, they can also have crowding-out effects if the resources used to acquire public debt reduce domestic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012142099
Countries with large debts stocks are vulnerable to the vagaries of the markets. Confidence crises can arise out of nowhere, constricting access to the markets. Hence, the question arises as to whether these countries should put in place mechanisms that will help them better prepare for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012429352
survey points to a growing role of sovereign-bank linkages, legal risks, domestic debt and default, and of official creditors … debt sustainability and default will remain acute in both developing and advanced economies. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012582022
effectiveness indicators, external debt, external reserves, and default history. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604757
In an environment characterized by weak contractual enforcement, sovereign lenders can enhance the likelihood of repayment by making their claims more difficult to restructure. We show within a simple model how competition for repayment between lenders may result in sovereign debt that is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504677
suggests that the addition of the rating agency affects the probability of default and the magnitude of the response of capital …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005463996
. I analyze the value of a default-risky sovereign bond in a setting in which foreign trade is reduced in case the country …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004968369
In 2007, countries in the euro periphery were enjoying stable growth, low deficits, and low spreads. Then the Financial crisis erupted and pushed them into deep recessions, raising their deficits and debt levels. By 2010, they were facing severe debt problems. Spreads increased and,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084507
We present a simple model of sovereign debt crises in which a country chooses its optimal mix of short and long-term debt contracts subject to standard contracting frictions: the country cannot commit to repay its debts nor to a specific path of future debt issues, and contracts cannot be made...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011206911
Do governments default on debt denominated in their own currency? We introduce a new measure of sovereign credit risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010728889