In this paper I built forecasts intervals for the inflation rate in Romania, using the quarterly predicted values provided by the National Bank of Romania for 2007-2010. First, I used the historical errors method, which is the most used method, especially by the central banks. Forecast intervals...

In this article, the accuracy of forecasts for inflation rate, unemployment, exchange rate and GDP index provided by Institute of Economic Forecasting (IEF) and National Commission of Prognosis (NCP) was assessed for the forecasting horizon 2004-2011. The hypothesis that combined forecasts is a...

Many researchers are interested in making predictions for macroeconomic variables, but few of them studied the accuracy of their forecasts. The problem is essential, especially in crisis periods, because from many forecasts made for the same indicator only one or few are the most accurate. In...

The objective of this research is to introduce in literature new measures of accuracy for point forecasts (radical of order n of the mean of squared errors, mean for the difference between each predicted value and the mean of the effective values, ratio of radicals of sum of squared errors...

Understanding the structure and properties of production networks is essential to identify the transmission channels from monetary shocks. While growingly studied, this literature keeps displaying critical caveats from which the investigation of G-7 economies is not spared. To fill this gap,...

The new context generated by the series of crises having occurred at the global level (the COVID-19 pandemic, the Ukraine war, the price increases) brings to our attention the sustainable development-oriented management of organisations. The purpose of this paper is to outline the importance of...