Econometric modeling of the exchange rate saw successive progresses, the forecasts based on the ‘70s models having a …-month-ahead forecasts for July and August 2011 based on these models I found that the best predictions are those based on the model that is … compatible with the sense of Granger causality. The higher errors are those of the forecasts based on the AR(1) model. The …

The most accurate forecasts for USA unemployment rate on the horizon 2001-2012, according to U1 Theil’s coefficient and … are biased in all cases, excepting BC, were proposed. However, these methods did not generate unbiased forecasts. The … predictions made by IMF and OECD for 2001-2012 can be improved by constructing combined forecasts, the INV approach and the scheme …

The main goal of this research is to improve the degree of accuracy for inflation rate forecasts in Romania. The … stochastic) on the horizon 2011-2013 were more accurate than the predictions based on Dobrescu model. The combined forecasts … proved to be a good strategy of improving the VAR forecasts and those based on Dobrescu model only if the dynamic and …