Business cycle synchronization has been one of the most debated issues in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries as it is the basic requirement for the stability of a monetary union that GCC countries have sought to wish to create in 2010. In this article, we attempt to investigate whether...

In this article, we use the recently developed nonlinear autoregressive distributed lags (NARDL) model to examine the pass-through of crude oil prices into gasoline and natural gas prices. Our approach allows us to simultaneously test the short- and long-run nonlinearities through positive and...

We develop models for examining possible predictors of the return on gold that embrace six global factors (business cycle, nominal, interest rate, commodity, exchange rate and stock price factors) and two uncertainty indices (the Kansas City Fed’s financial stress index and the U.S. Economic...

We compare nonlinear cointegration tests with the standard cointegration tests in studying the relationship of the Dow Jones Islamic finance index with three other conventional equity market indices. Our results show that there is a long-run nonlinear cointegrating relationship between the Dow...

Two recent nonlinear causality tests are used to examine the causal linkages across increasingly important international equity and commodity markets. We show that nonlinear causality is more appealing when asymmetric patterns are accounted for. The results are crucial to hedging and portfolio...