We develop a parsimonious New Keynesian macro-finance model with downward nominal rigidities to understand secular and cyclical movements in Treasury bond premia. Downward nominal rigidities create state-dependence in output and inflation dynamics: a higher level of inflation makes prices more...

The mean-semivariance CAPM strongly outperforms the traditional mean-variance CAPM in terms of its ability to explain the cross-section of US stock returns. If regular beta is replaced by downside beta, the traditional risk-return relationship is restored. The downside betas of low-beta stocks...

This paper describes the return patterns of six ASEAN markets (Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam) using an autoregressive exponential GARCH-in mean model, also known as AR-EGARCH(1, 1)-M. Estimating the model for each market using daily data from August 2000...

The main objective of this article is to study the relation between volumes and return asymmetries for most of the Latin American Stock Markets, including Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico and Peru. The selected methodology for this study considers the first three moments of operational...

We examine the relation between US stock market returns and the US business cycle for the period 1960 - 2003 using a new methodology that allows us to estimate a time-varying equity premium. We identify two channels in the transmission mechanism. One is through the mean of stock returns via the...