Kitov, Ivan; Kitov, Oleg - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2007
the number of 17 year-olds shifted 8 years back. The prediction of S&P 500 returns for the months after 2003, including … estimates of real GDP per capita. A prediction is available for the period beyond 2007. There are two sharp drops in the … indices, including RMS difference, linear regression, and VAR demonstrate good prediction accuracy at two-year horizon, when …