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This paper provides new evidence on the stochastic behaviour of the EPU (Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) index constructed by Baker et al. (2016) in six of the biggest economies (Canada, France, Japan, US, Ireland, and Sweden) over the period from January 1985 to October 2019. In particular,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012219127
This paper examines the asymmetric impact of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and oil price uncertainty (OPU) on inflation by using a Nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model, which is compared to a benchmark linear ARDL one. Using monthly data from the 1990s until August 2022 for a number of developed and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013543029
A stable economic condition is crucial for an organization's success. Any fluctuation in economic policy directly influences corporate-level decisions. However, exercising better governance can mitigate the adverse effect of such unstable economic conditions. Owing to this, the current research...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015074217
A stable economic condition is crucial for an organization's success. Any fluctuation in economic policy directly influences corporate-level decisions. However, exercising better governance can mitigate the adverse effect of such unstable economic conditions. Owing to this, the current research...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014500430
Oil price shocks and economic policy uncertainty are interrelated and influence stock market return. For the U.S. an unanticipated increase in policy uncertainty has a significant negative effect on real stock returns. A positive oil-market specific demand shock (indicating greater concern about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010702770
We examine dynamic correlations between housing market returns and economic policy uncertainty in the United States. Our findings suggest that correlations are time-varying and sensitive to economic fundamentals and US recessions.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011185238
We examine dynamic correlations between housing market returns and economic policy uncertainty in the United States. Our findings suggest that correlations are time-varying and sensitive to economic fundamentals and US recessions.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011186484
This study examines the dynamic relationship between changes in oil prices and the economic policy uncertainty index for a sample of both net oil-exporting and net oil-importing countries over the period 1997:01–2013:06. To achieve that, an extension of the Diebold and Yilmaz (2009, 2012)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011100073
Oil price shocks and economic policy uncertainty are interrelated and influence stock market return. For the U.S. an unanticipated increase in policy uncertainty has a significant negative effect on real stock returns. A positive oil-market specific demand shock (indicating greater concern about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011114469
In this study, we forecast economic policy uncertainty (EPU) using input on 23 commodity price changes. We reveal the significant predictability of EPU using three forecast combinations. This indicates that commodity price changes can be taken as a leading indicator of EPU.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011189556