Crafts, Nicholas; Mills, Terence - Department of Economics, University of Warwick - 2013
We report estimates of the fiscal multiplier for interwar Britain based on quarterly data, time-series econometrics …, and ‘defense news’. We find that the government expenditure multiplier was in the range 0.3 to 0.8, much lower than … rearmament gave a smaller boost to real GDP than previously claimed. Rearmament may, however, have had a larger impact than a …