"Bayesian statistics can help to provide unique insights into important issues in many fields. Bayesian statistics is not new, but traditionally it has not been widely taught as it is computationally challenging and there were criticisms surrounding the subjectivity of Bayesian methods. As...

We use a mean-adjusted Bayesian VAR model as an out-of-sample forecasting tool to test whether money growth Granger-causes inflation in the euro area. Based on data from 1970 to 2006 and forecasting horizons of up to 12 quarters, there is surprisingly strong evidence that including money...