Showing 61 - 70 of 51,388
This paper analyses the initiated and changed recommendations published in six well-known Swedish newspapers and business magazines for the period 1996-2000 using a buy-and-hold abnormal returns (BHARs) approach. The results distinguish between recommendations from analysts and journalists. Buy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009213942
to insignificantly underperforming the risk-replicating portfolio by almost two percentage points for the year after they … were published. Buy's of small- firm stocks outperform the risk-replicating portfolio whereas medium- and large-sized firms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005651781
are consistent with the empirical properties of dividends, the equity premium, as well as the level and standard deviation … of the risk-free rate. Overall, our findings show that it is possible to reconcile the stylized properties of the equity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292137
in option prices. Consumption and dividends remain smooth, and the model is consistent with salient features of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292171
The volatility information content of stock options for individual firms is measured using option prices for 149 U.S. firms and the S&P 100 index. ARCH and regression models are used to compare volatility forecasts defined by historical stock returns, at-the-money implied volatilities and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010302536
financial crisis. To this end, we derive risk-neutral densities from the implied volatilities of FX options, which approximate … market expectations about exchange rate developments. Based on these risk-neutral density estimates, we then assess the out … also find that, for the Czech Republic and Poland, risk-neutral densities contain useful information on the direction of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322178
This paper provides empirical evidence that combinations of option implied and time series volatility forecasts that are conditional on current information are statistically superior to individual models, unconditional combinations, and hybrid forecasts. Superior forecasting performance is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322599
In this paper we compare the predictive abilility of Stochastic Volatility (SV)models to that of volatility forecasts implied by option prices. We develop anSV model with implied volatility as an exogeneous var able in the varianceequation which facilitates the use of statistical tests for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324427
In this paper, we propose a novel approach on how to estimate systemic risk and identify its key determinants. For all … affected if the tail risk of the financial sector increases. We find that key accounting and market valuation metrics such as … risk profile of a financial institution. In contrast to earlier studies, the employed panel vector autoregression (PVAR …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010327817
This paper examines the cross-dynamics of volatility term structures implied by foreign exchange options. The data used in the empirical analysis consist of daily observations of implied volatilities for OTC options on the euro, Japanese yen, British pound, Swiss franc, and Canadian dollar,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604576