Research and observations indicate climate change has and will have an impact on On- tario eld crop production. Little research has done to forecast how climate change might in uence the Canadian Federal-Provincial Crop Insurance program, including its premium rates and reserve fund balances, in...

We provide a general framework for quantifying the effects of genotypic selection prediction accuracy and varying cost ratios of phenotyping to genotyping on the economic performance of genotypic selection relative to traditional phenotypic selection. Economic performance is measured using...

Are futures prices exogenous to agricultural supply? It depends. We argue that crop yield shocks were predictable during the 1961-2007 period because high planting-time futures prices tended to indicate that yield would be below trend. This feature of the data implies that regressions of...

Perennial crop production is inherently dynamic due to several salient physical characteristics including an establishment period of several years with low or no yields, long lives in commercial production (40 years or more), and path-dependence of yields on input use and other exogenous...

This study seeks to provide a rigorous theoretical and empirical understanding of the effects of exogenous geographic and climate-related factors on the first three moments of crop yields. We hypothesize that exogenous geographic and climate factors that have beneficial effects on crop...

This article reviews the current literature on USDA farm-level data reports and looks at the impact of information contained in the USDA Crop Production report on U.S., Iowa, Illinois, Nebraska, North Carolina, and Wisconsin corn prices. A hypothesis is tested concerning the significance of the...

U.S. farm output, from the 1930s until 1981, increased steadily, but growth stopped in the 1980s. Now, after 9 years of volatility, total farm output is less than it was in 1981. The largest decline occurred in the production of grains and oil crops such as soybeans. This stagnation of the 1980s...